3 ms·
This doesn't make sense right? As of today, California has 1000 cases. Even assume the infections double every 4 days, in 8 weeks that gives us: 16.4 millions.
by tanilama 7y ago
This doesn't make sense right? As of today, California has 1000 cases.
Even assume the infections double every 4 days, in 8 weeks that gives us: 16.4 millions.
And currently Santa Clara county is in a virtual lockdown, I am wrapping my head how could we reach this number really?
- eunos 7y ago1000 detected cases. Detection is a bottleneck at the moment.
- jkachmar 7y agoI’m concerned that there is a vast disparity between the number of confirmed cases and the actual number of contracted cases (esp. asymptomatic). NY has tested the largest number of people out of all states and has >4000 confirmed cases as of March 19th, and it’s _still_ being undertested for relative to countries like South Korea.
- tunesmith 7y agoCalifornia has 1000 confirmed cases, not actual cases. You can get to 23.5 million if you estimate 10,000 actual cases, with a 5-day doubling time over eight weeks. Experts are estimating 5-6 days doubling.