3 ms·

That seems far worse than any statistics reported so far. What is the basis for that number?

• kingbirdy 7y ago
  Italy's current mortality rate is 8% (3,405 deaths, 41,035 confirmed cases). Of course their lack of testing is probably influencing the numbers somewhat, but still. Source: https://www.wsj.com/articles/italys-virus-death-toll-on-the-cusp-of-overtaking-chinas-11584626731 https://www.wsj.com/articles/italys-virus-death-toll-on-the-...
  • sershe 7y ago
    According to a recent study from Columbia University up to 86% cases are undetected based on pre-lockdown Chinese data. That would bring this number down to ~1.1%. That is in the oldest-skewing population out there, barely any containment (assuming 14 days infection to death), and with overwhelmed healthcare capacity. Frankly I didn't even expect it to be this low, I thought it was supposed to be closer to 2.5-3% after healthcare collapse and 0.5% before.
    • littlestymaar 7y ago
      Please be careful with every study you read or be talked about in the news: there's over one thousand studies on Covid19 so far, with a big discrepancy in results. Cherry-picking the one we want to hear is pretty dangerous if it gives us a false sense of security. For the record, on the Diamond Princess (with everybody tested) the number of asymptomatic case was 60% with more than 1% death rate with Japanese healthcare (not overloaded). You can't generalize on these figures either for many reasons but thats's still a strong warning.