They are assuming suppression measures are only in place for five months and then letup at once uniformly. I don't see a justification for that assumption. I do

They are assuming suppression measures are only in place for five months and then letup at once uniformly. I don't see a justification for that assumption. I doubt it will play out that way. I would would expect to see people fatigue on the distancing, governments to relax orders as the case numbers drop low, and then they'll be rushed into place again when the numbers start climbing again. We shall all become very bored of hearing about the disease cycle because it will be going on for the next 12 months or more.