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I think people should have right to their opinions but voicing some is sometimes just plainly dangerous. Yes, we know it works. China has allowed the disease t
by lmilcin 7y ago
I think people should have right to their opinions but voicing some is sometimes just plainly dangerous.
Yes, we know it works. China has allowed the disease to spread, yet they have instantly turned it around by introducing extreme measures. Just watch this very informative piece: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mCa0JXEwDEk https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mCa0JXEwDEk
If you are not convinced extreme measures are worth it, just take a look at Italy which still can't get a grip on its population the way Chinese authorities were able to (being authoritative state has some advantages sometimes).
The plague has barely started and they already ran out of space to keep bodies.
If you are of another opinion (that it has barely started) the current statistics show that only half of percent of population is diagnosed (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/) and if you look at logarithmic graph it barely shows any signs of slowdown.
We know there are some asymptomatic cases but only at most 3-4 per one requiring hospitalization which means at most 2-3 percent of population is actually ill. So yes, it just barely started.
South Korea is good example where early, aggressive hunting of cases before they spread brings good results, there was an article on HN recently.
For this reason I think educating people that this is serious matter and we should all refrain from doing things that can spread the disease, if not for our own health then for public safety, is everybody's responsibility now.
This does not mean we have to panic. We just need to understand what is and what is not reasonable prevention. Think about this: if everybody stayed home for two weeks this would mostly be over.
I understand we can't all stay home. Not everybody has a job that allows it. But a lot of people can and the ones that have to move around can do a lot of sane things to make it much harder for disease to spread.
- dilyevsky 7y agoIt’s not two weeks. If you want to completely eradicate it you need at least three weeks after number of new cases flatlined completely then clamp extra hard on any remaining pockets
- lmilcin 7y agoThat's why I wrote "it will be mostly over". In two weeks most cases would resolve either way (sorry for being so insensitive..) And yes, you made an excellent point. The point of not moving around is not just prevent spreading the virus but it also lets authorities to clamp down and focus on remaining pockets, which is just as important.
- nickysielicki 7y agoHe’s an epidemiologist, his opinion is relevant.