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Does it scare anyone that the North / Fast setting for the USA puts the death count at ~1/2 reality for the past few days? Does this indicate that it spread fas

• spookthesunset 7y ago
  Consider that in the US testing has barely started and even then there are a ton pre-conditions to get tested. Any “scary growth curve” of any absolute number you see is almost certainly a reflection of how much tests are being done. More tests means more confirmed results which means a nice scary looking curve. If you start with a hypothesis that this virus is already in widespread circulation and possibly has been for a while (which is the simplest explanation, mind you), odds are good many people already had it or have it right now. Only way to prove/disprove if it is widespread is by testing a random sample of the entire population. Something we aren’t doing in the US.
  • jhncls 7y ago
    What's really disturbing and hard to doubt is the growing daily death count in a country as Italy [1] [1] https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/#graph-deaths-daily https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/#gra...
    • badfrog 7y ago
      It looks like the number of deaths per day hasn't really been growing in the past ~5 days. That's somewhat comforting.