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You are not taking the efficiency argument far enough: if the market is efficient, it isn't a good use of time to do your research. But if it's not worth anyone
by byrneseyeview 18y ago
You are not taking the efficiency argument far enough: if the market is efficient, it isn't a good use of time to do your research. But if it's not worth anyone's time to do research, the market will no longer be efficient.
The market may be 'efficient' in the sense that people inclined to do research have a fair tradeoff between time spent researching and the benefits thereof. But it is incoherent for the markets to be perfectly efficient, in the sense that investors are able to rationally appraise the value of every single stock, but are fully incapable of appraising the value of their own time.
- eru 18y agoPerhaps your weaker version of efficiency suffices. If you are not on par with Buffett - buy index fonds.
- ph0rque 18y ago> But if [the market]'s not worth anyone's time to do research, the market will no longer be efficient. I wonder if we will get to the point that publically-traded companies will have to be perfectly transparent, and the needed research will be trivial (and automated)?