3 ms·
The numbers above don’t hold much under scrutiny. The "herd immunity" approach is a dangerous gamble, as one of the big unknowns is "How long is the immunity a
by aparashk 7y ago
The numbers above don’t hold much under scrutiny.
The "herd immunity" approach is a dangerous gamble, as one of the big unknowns is "How long is the immunity after recovery from COVID-19" -- it can be anything between 0 (no immunity) and infinity (immunity for life). If acquired immunity holds for less than the time required for a vaccine to be widely available, "herd immunity" will quickly become a massacre. The first wave will knock off the medical system (even if somehow everyone over 60 is protected), ensuring that the second wave will be devastating.
I much rather prefer the South Korea/Singapore/Japan alternative to the UK one.
The race is to arrest the exponential curve, somehow, at any temporary cost, for if we don't we can't apply the working options for COVID-19 response from Japan, South Korea, and Singapore.
- HSO 7y ago> The numbers above don’t hold much under scrutiny. Can you tell me which exactly and indicate why?
- lozenge 7y agohttps://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/15/uk-covid-19-strategy-questions-unanswered-coronavirus-outbreak https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/15/uk-cov... https://www.theguardian.com/politics/health https://www.theguardian.com/politics/health
- daaa 7y agoCurious about which numbers do not hold. Can you tell specifically? - a news article tends to cite a lot of numbers - And given the situation, can you also mention the original sources?