The problem with the CFR is that it assumes that everybody can get the care they need. If the health system gets swamped by 50% of a country's population, then

The problem with the CFR is that it assumes that everybody can get the care they need. If the health system gets swamped by 50% of a country's population, then you basically have the same situation as they have in Italy. We're just at the very beginning here in Denmark, the number of hospitalized people has roughly doubled every day for the past 3-4 days, and already hospitals are running out of masks and other essential equipment. Since the world is in lockdown, and everybody is fighting this, basic supplies are in short demand everywhere.