7 ms·
Viral spread is more complicated than a simple exponential curve. This is even visible when just eyeballing graphs in log space, e.g. here: https://mackuba.eu/c
by blauditore 7y ago
Viral spread is more complicated than a simple exponential curve. This is even visible when just eyeballing graphs in log space, e.g. here: https://mackuba.eu/corona/#total https://mackuba.eu/corona/#total
- _Microft 7y agoThe world-wide total numbers are a very unfortunate choice of graph. It overlays the earlier development in China and their static number of cases (no new ones) with exponential growth in the rest of the world (= the beginning of a logistic curve looks like an exponential). Better look at each of the different countries. China and South Korea as examples when the problem is managed ; Italy, Germany and Spain as examples when country did not yet. https://mackuba.eu/corona/#china https://mackuba.eu/corona/#china https://mackuba.eu/corona/#south_korea https://mackuba.eu/corona/#south_korea https://mackuba.eu/corona/#italy https://mackuba.eu/corona/#italy https://mackuba.eu/corona/#germany https://mackuba.eu/corona/#germany https://mackuba.eu/corona/#spain https://mackuba.eu/corona/#spain