The top concern for a war in the ME is that an unstable authoritarian state (eg Iran) starts a war to distract the population from the woes of COVID. Current f

The top concern for a war in the ME is that an unstable authoritarian state (eg Iran) starts a war to distract the population from the woes of COVID. Current feeling is that they are suffering sufficiently from COVID and internal political chaos that they won't be able to organize to do that.