3 ms·

The last 24 hours have seen some dueling arguments, from respected sources, regarding how to model this. This one (pdf) has been highly influential to US and U

The last 24 hours have seen some dueling arguments, from respected sources, regarding how to model this. This one (pdf) has been highly influential to US and UK governments and is pretty sobering and alarming: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s... This one is way on the other end: https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/ https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-a... I'm just hoping that we discover effective treatments soon, because with those we might be able to start treating this like a normal cold before any of the worst case scenarios would come to pass.

jtbayly 7y ago
That first link isn't loading for me. Looks overwhelmed. I checked the Wayback archive, and it says it has been archived a lot of times, but it isn't working. Anybody have a working link?
- allisonburtch 7y ago
  the first link is a pdf. try checking your downloads folder?
  - jtbayly 7y ago
    I know it’s a PDF. I got it eventually. Did you check archive.org for the url? As of yesterday it was simply broken.
kasperni 7y ago
There is a summary of the imperial paper on Twitter https://twitter.com/jeremycyoung/status/1239976309456916482 https://twitter.com/jeremycyoung/status/1239976309456916482 Not a very pleasant reading if people are hoping on a quick fix.