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When China started the lockdown of Wuhan on Jan 23, they may only have had 830 confirmed cases - but the number of confirmed cases was basically limited by the
by makomk 7y ago
When China started the lockdown of Wuhan on Jan 23, they may only have had 830 confirmed cases - but the number of confirmed cases was basically limited by the rate at which they could test people turning up at hospitals with severe symptoms and continued to be so for quite a while, from what I can tell. There's a more interesting figure buried in the WHO's final report from their joint mission to China: at some point, someone went and retested old samples taken from people in Wuhan with flu-like symptoms, 20 per week. They found no positives before January, 1 in the first week of January, and 3 in the second week. Those are not pretty numbers.
- wegs 7y agoBest estimates are that the US has roughly 90,000-150,000 cases right now. You multiply number of deaths by 1500. That assumes doubling every five days and 1% fatality.
- bildung 7y agoBut was this different to the US? I don't follow the US news that closely, but my impression was that testing capacity is only significantly growing since yesterday.