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Suppose you could implement 100% lockdown of a country (which is impossible). Yes you would contain the disease, but you would only delay an outbreak. Therefore
by TeeWEE 7y ago
Suppose you could implement 100% lockdown of a country (which is impossible). Yes you would contain the disease, but you would only delay an outbreak. Therefore flattening the curve enough so the health-care system can help the ill is the beat strategy.
The question is: is the curve going to be flattened enough, or do we need more extreme measures like china.
In countries where the health care system is poor extreme measures are indeed needed because they really need to flatten the curve a lot.
- toyg 7y agoItaly has a pretty decent healthcare system and still had to go full-lockdown.
- mantap 7y agoThis is not a quality of healthcare issue. The interventions are relatively straightforward: oxygen, possibly antibiotics for secondary infection, and for a small percentage of patients, ventilation. This is a quantity of healthcare issue. China was probably the best placed of any country in terms of its ability to ramp up production of hospitals and all the necessary equipment. Some patients will get very sick with sepsis and then it becomes a quality of care issue but that's the minority.
- DougN7 7y agoMy concern is how long we’ll have to work to flatten the curve (i.e. how many illnesses are there per month if we get it as flat as we hope). As someone else said, another Great Depression will also bring death. Crappy options :(