It's something I first read from the Goldman Sachs client call notes that has been circulating: https://www.forbes.com/sites/abrambrown/2020/03/16/the-private-

It's something I first read from the Goldman Sachs client call notes that has been circulating: https://www.forbes.com/sites/abrambrown/2020/03/16/the-private-goldman-sachs-coronavirus-meeting-thats-setting-the-internet-on-fire/#18155bc950dd https://www.forbes.com/sites/abrambrown/2020/03/16/the-priva... Certainly not the best citation, and I have no idea where GS gets their analyses, but seems plausible enough that I'm at least hoping there could be some truth to it. See e.g. India, the virus doesn't seem to have taken off there despite a few early cases. If it's wrong, I fear things could get really bad, especially in heavily populated cities like Lagos.