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In case this thread doesn’t gain momentum, some more (potentially interesting) discussion on Reddit [1]. Particularly this post [2]: > I wonder if they plan t

In case this thread doesn’t gain momentum, some more (potentially interesting) discussion on Reddit [1]. Particularly this post [2]: > I wonder if they plan to follow up and monitor... From the Diamond Princess they initially found 50% of people had no symptoms. However upon following them over the course of weeks that dropped down to about 18%. Due to the long incubation period it can take some time to determine if someone is truly asymptomatic or just not symptomatic yet. [1] https://www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/fjuj24/5075_of_covid19_cases_are_completely_asymptomatic/ https://www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/fjuj24/5075_of... [2] https://www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/fjuj24/comment/fkpkiac https://www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/fjuj24/comment...

IIAOPSW 7y ago
On an unrelated note, I just noticed this entire time I've been reading "asymptomatic" as "asymptotic". I thought it was cases that happen in the limit as severity goes to zero.
- taneq 7y ago
  Some news services have referred to asymptotic spread but it's just hyperbole.
  - lurquer 7y ago
    Your obtuse reply isn't even tangentially related to the line of discussion.
    - aquadrop 7y ago
      No need to go ballistic over couple of lines.
    - taneq 7y ago
      I feel it's unfair that people have disrespected the trifecta you achieved here.
  - notduncansmith 7y ago
    I feel like I’m approaching the limit of what I can take, but I doubt I’ll ever truly reach it.
JohnJamesRambo 7y ago
This is what I was wondering when I read Donovan Mitchell from the Utah Jazz saying he felt fine. I wondered if he just hasn’t become ill yet.
adam-a 7y ago
I read the Diamond Princess study and the 19% figure is not based on following up with departed passengers. They're using some probability estimation based on the 50% discovered cases, I assume they're trying to account for people who had mild symptoms but not at the time they were tested. They identify flaws in the study though: the passengers were mostly old, so they are more likely to be symptomatic. They also didn't test everyone on the boat, only vulnerable, or symptomatic people, so their base numbers are missing some number of asymptomatic cases. It's not a great study really but I think you could take 19% as a low bound on the figure and in wider society 50% is plausible.

IIAOPSW 7y ago

On an unrelated note, I just noticed this entire time I've been reading "asymptomatic" as "asymptotic". I thought it was cases that happen in the limit as severity goes to zero.

taneq 7y ago
Some news services have referred to asymptotic spread but it's just hyperbole.
- lurquer 7y ago
  Your obtuse reply isn't even tangentially related to the line of discussion.
  - aquadrop 7y ago
    No need to go ballistic over couple of lines.
  - taneq 7y ago
    I feel it's unfair that people have disrespected the trifecta you achieved here.
- notduncansmith 7y ago
  I feel like I’m approaching the limit of what I can take, but I doubt I’ll ever truly reach it.

JohnJamesRambo 7y ago

This is what I was wondering when I read Donovan Mitchell from the Utah Jazz saying he felt fine. I wondered if he just hasn’t become ill yet.

adam-a 7y ago

I read the Diamond Princess study and the 19% figure is not based on following up with departed passengers. They're using some probability estimation based on the 50% discovered cases, I assume they're trying to account for people who had mild symptoms but not at the time they were tested. They identify flaws in the study though: the passengers were mostly old, so they are more likely to be symptomatic. They also didn't test everyone on the boat, only vulnerable, or symptomatic people, so their base numbers are missing some number of asymptomatic cases. It's not a great study really but I think you could take 19% as a low bound on the figure and in wider society 50% is plausible.