4 ms·
Why he isn't: Suggested income: $12,000 US Population: $327,200,000 Total cost for first year: $3,926,400,000,000 Total government expenditure for US: $3,80
by buzzkillington 7y ago
Why he isn't:
Suggested income: $12,000
US Population: $327,200,000
Total cost for first year: $3,926,400,000,000
Total government expenditure for US: $3,800,000,000
So we would need to shut down everything the government does to afford his UBI. I personally don't feel like going for free market ICBM solutions is the best way to run an army, but each to their own.
- JCharante 7y agoAren't there restriction like only for citizens 18+ and under Yang's policy it'd be you either take UBI or other subsidies you qualify for.
- buzzkillington 7y agoUBI only works when it isn't universal, basic or income. At that point you have invented a worse welfare state.
- paulmd 7y agowow, what a strawman you've built there. that US government expenditure is a constantly changing number, when the government wants to buy some ICBMs they don't go cut food stamps correspondingly, they just increase the amount of government expenditure.
- dillondoyle 7y agoThe first source I could find puts 2008 crisis programs at 5.7% of GDP (it says output I assume gdp), and New Deal at 40%. [1] Call it 130MM households in the US. Exclude top 5% ~123M. For 6 months stimulus 1k/house = 738B. Doesn't sound like enough really for what we're facing. Less than 2008 stimulus. only ~3.6% of GDP. This interview with Jason Furman has some other good comparisons+context and other back of napkin maths [2] If we're talking permanent UBI lowering or even cutting benefits programs (to be replaced by UBI) could get it somewhat close to budget neutral - if you cut a lot [3]. But IMHO would never be able to cut social security etc enough to make a difference, gross tax revenue would have to be raised somehow - but not by a shocking amount. 1 https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2017/may/which-bigger-2009-recovery-act-fdr-new-deal https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2017/may/which-big... 2 https://www.vox.com/2020/3/13/21177850/coronavirus-covid-19-recession-stock-market-economy-jobs-stimulus https://www.vox.com/2020/3/13/21177850/coronavirus-covid-19-... 3 https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/14/budget-neutral-universal-basic-income-plan-would-pay-1320-per-month.html https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/14/budget-neutral-universal-bas...