3 ms·
Thanks for the citation from CIDRAP. I haven't watched the Joe Rogan podcast, but I did read an interview [1] where Dr. Osterholm gave reasoning, basically sayi
by raphlinus 7y ago
Thanks for the citation from CIDRAP. I haven't watched the Joe Rogan podcast, but I did read an interview [1] where Dr. Osterholm gave reasoning, basically saying that the science is not in yet on the role that children have in the transmission of the virus. That's fair, though I think that is starting to fill in. For example, in the Imperial study [2] (one of the most important documents of the day), their modeling shows a fairly substantial improvement in deaths from closing most universities and schools compared with not doing so (I'm looking at PC_CI_HQ_SDOL70 vs CI_HQ_SDOL70 on the chart on page 9 in particular). I think we'll have an increasingly solid scientific basis for this decision soon.
The discussion on authoritarianism is one too deep for this comment thread, but I would like to leave you with a question, now hypothetical, but might be less so soon. This virus is a bit of an uncontrolled experiment on the ability of different countries and regional governments to handle crisis. What if the evidence provided by this experiment suggests that authoritarian systems are better able to suppress the virus because they can actually get people to avoid harmful behavior, where in freer systems it's just not possible to get the rate of selfish behavior down to the point of being effective?
[1]: https://www.postbulletin.com/life/health/this-is-not-going-to-be-like-a-minnesota-blizzard/article_5332fcf2-66c9-11ea-a60d-9f38cca2a0e9.html https://www.postbulletin.com/life/health/this-is-not-going-t...
[2]: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news--wuhan-coronavirus/ https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-ana...