7 ms·
Self selecting tests. Need the types of control data that polling companies use.
by iso947 7y ago
Self selecting tests. Need the types of control data that polling companies use.
- akiselev 7y agoSouth Korea has been doing extensive contact tracing and quarantining from the start. They're as close to a statistical sample as we're going to get until large scale random antibody tests are done. At best the US could probably fit it into the census process.
- spookthesunset 7y agoUntil you get a good bit of random antibody tests, it is all speculation. Nobody really knows how widespread this thing is, what its actual death rate is or anything else. I personally wouldn't be surprised to learn the number of people who had it or have it now is hundreds of times higher than the "confirmed cases". I would also speculate that this virus has been in wide circulation for months now. But my guess is as good as anybody else. Until we get actual, statistically valid high quality data.... all we have is speculation. I sure hope we are making the right call shutting things down as much as we are. People have to remember that there are serious physical health consequences to the actions being taken. Suicide rates will climb, alcoholism & addiction will jump, crime will go up, etc. A few weeks of this kind of economic pause is one thing but at some point in the very near future people are going to want to know what the end game is.
- drivebycomment 7y agoAs of today, Korea reports 274K tested, with 3.2% infected out of that. They also show strong signs of containment. Those two datapoints indicate that they didn't miss many infected cases.
- spookthesunset 7y agoDoes that testing include people who had it before and just have antibodies? Or just active cases?
- dboreham 7y agoThere is no deployed serological test at present.