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I was eyeballing various country deaths at worldometers.info, and they looked more like 8-11 days to me. Then again, the early South Korea stats looked steeper.
by tunesmith 7y ago
I was eyeballing various country deaths at worldometers.info, and they looked more like 8-11 days to me. Then again, the early South Korea stats looked steeper.
But yeah, I recognize the larger point is we want to know doubling rate of "actual cases", and since that's currently unknowable, identifying the most reliable proxy. It just seemed to me that our testing rate occludes "confirmed cases" more than death rate occludes "actual cases" - at least with death rates we can identify the time points when mitigation rates are introduced, when hospitals get overwhelmed, etc.