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The US, like most other countries, is only a couple of days behind Italy. Italy had 100 total cases only ~20 days ago. The problem with this virus is that it
by bad_user 7y ago
The US, like most other countries, is only a couple of days behind Italy.
Italy had 100 total cases only ~20 days ago.
The problem with this virus is that it goes from 1 case to hell in only a couple of weeks. If you already have 100 confirmed cases, it's too late to stop what's coming.
- aksss 7y agoSo conversely if US hasn’t gone to hell in a couple weeks, it indicates we’ve been doing something right?
- bad_user 7y agoSadly that's not a possibility. According to mathematical models the capacity of your hospitals will be exceeded by more than 30 times. Give it another week or two. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s...
- bad_user 7y agoAs a follow-up to this message, we're now 9 days later and New York is overwhelmed, predicted to run out of intensive-care beds tomorrow, with other states quickly following.
- fyp 7y agoIf our testing infrastructure is in place to get correct counts, yes. Countries can be "graded" based on their trajectory on this graph: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus#trajectories-since-the-100th-confirmed-case https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus#trajectories-since-th...
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]