3 ms·

head spinning stuff, the mitigation strategy (suppression in waves for 18mths) is extraordinary. Mitigation of suppression is going to be a big thing, there wi

• grey-area 7y ago
  I had to laugh at that bit, only an epidemiologist would think it was practical to adopt a stop and start strategy for 18 months, opening and closing schools and adjusting lockdowns etc. every few weeks. I suspect governments will proceed to full lock down instead for as long as it takes (6-8 months?). Economically this is going to hit very hard, and lead to a global depression and a lot of bankrupt companies. I almost fear the treatment might kill more than the disease after all the global economic impacts are accounted for.
  • sgt101 7y ago
    To be fair to them they do comment that this is unproven and it may not be viable. I can't see that a 6mth lockdown will work either though. I guess that what will happen will be a muddle - increase healthcare surge capacity, infection control with new tech (phones and reporting), better testing and tracing - and use of limited amounts of vaccine when it becomes available... even 10k shots would make a difference I suppose.
  • AncientTree 7y ago
    This is what we need to fight against. The alternative of just isolating those aged 70+ is much more effective and dramatically less costly.