4 ms·
Where do you get that the doubling time of deaths is much slower than that of confirmed cases? I looked for data, and this graphic is not reassuring on the ques
by raphlinus 7y ago
Where do you get that the doubling time of deaths is much slower than that of confirmed cases? I looked for data, and this graphic is not reassuring on the question:
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Log-linear_plot_of_coronavirus_cases_with_linear_regressions.png https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Log-linear_plot_of_c...
- tunesmith 7y agoI was eyeballing various country deaths at worldometers.info, and they looked more like 8-11 days to me. Then again, the early South Korea stats looked steeper. But yeah, I recognize the larger point is we want to know doubling rate of "actual cases", and since that's currently unknowable, identifying the most reliable proxy. It just seemed to me that our testing rate occludes "confirmed cases" more than death rate occludes "actual cases" - at least with death rates we can identify the time points when mitigation rates are introduced, when hospitals get overwhelmed, etc.