I agree that this analysis should be the basis of the decision, and I'm sure it's not simple tradeoff between lives and economic cost. For instance, no preparat

I agree that this analysis should be the basis of the decision, and I'm sure it's not simple tradeoff between lives and economic cost. For instance, no preparation, no response, and huge body count 4 weeks later when a huge fraction of the workforce is sick will damage the economy as well.