3 ms·

It's here now : have a look. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2

• mytailorisrich 7y ago
  Is that the one that seemingly a U turn under the pretence of "new data"? [1] Because the government already knew that rapid herd immunity would cause a huge number of deaths. [1] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/16/new-data-new-policy-why-uks-coronavirus-strategy-has-changed https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/16/new-data-new-p...
  • sgt101 7y ago
    It is new data - the assumptions that were in the model showed that the surge capacity of ICU could cope in a social distancing scenario, but once they factored in the rates from Lombardy they got a different result. The horrible truth is that this thing is going to cause a huge number of deaths, I wish it weren't so.