I'm not sure exactly what Italy is doing at the moment, but an important result out of China is that they found quarantine-at-home was not good enough for R<1.

I'm not sure exactly what Italy is doing at the moment, but an important result out of China is that they found quarantine-at-home was not good enough for R<1. They needed centralized quarantine to achieve R<1. https://twitter.com/XihongLin/status/1236076749491929094 https://twitter.com/XihongLin/status/1236076749491929094 So the first attempt does not necessarily work. But I hope it does, and if not, I hope they quickly iterate to find one that does.