3 ms·
2% is not a conservative number. It's expected to come in at 0.1%-0.5%. That's bad enough.
by JanSt 7y ago
2% is not a conservative number. It's expected to come in at 0.1%-0.5%. That's bad enough.
- watwut 7y agoI did not seen 0.1%-0.5% estimate in any official claim. They were all 2% or above.
- _-___________-_ 7y agoChief medical adviser of the UK govt claims 0.6%.
- JanSt 7y ago2% or above is only reached in populations that are tested sparsely. In countries that test more like South Korea and Germany* the death rate is much lower, because more infection cases are known. Italy's death rate is currently so high because only severe cases have been tested, because of limited test availability. The death rate will trend lower when more tests are performed. Germany currently has ~6000 infected and 13 death. * even in Germany you are (at least till very recently) only tested if you show symptoms AND have been in contact with an infected person or have been to a heavily hit region).
- Taek 7y agoWhat data supports 0.1% - 0.5%?