4 ms·

Put off for 8 weeks. Let's make the assumption that people follow the rule and things seem to go well and we get to May 10th. What will they say for the next ma

Put off for 8 weeks. Let's make the assumption that people follow the rule and things seem to go well and we get to May 10th. What will they say for the next max size gathering? 250? Small ramp ups? Or do you think they'll continue to say stay below 50 and the 8 week time limit is all that can looked ahead to? We really need well run prediction markets on this. Getting more accurate forecasts on this is incredibly valuable.

jpster 7y ago
I would love, love, love to learn more about whether and how China is rebooting and how that is going. Haven’t seen much reporting on it. Aside from Apple’s plans to reopen their stores there.
- caseysoftware 7y ago
  It looks like they're using slave labor.. oh sorry, forced labor while their families are held back in re-education camps: https://www.extremetech.com/extreme/306909-report-china-sells-minorities-into-forced-labor-to-benefit-apple-foxconn-others https://www.extremetech.com/extreme/306909-report-china-sell...
- alisonatwork 7y ago
  Outside of Hubei, most people are back to work in some form or another now. Throughout February white collar workers worked from home. Since March we've been allowed back to the office, although there are draconian restrictions (must not sit at same table, must wear mask, must report temperature etc). Schools are still closed so many parents continue to work from home. Blue collars have been going back to work for several weeks, although I imagine they are facing similar or even harsher restrictions than white collars. I think pink collars have suffered the most of everybody. Many restaurants have reopened, but in my neighborhood it's only this week that some barbershops reopened, and there are still no bars open, no movie theaters, no events venues etc. My guess would be the country is about 60-70% back to work now, but those who are back are definitely not operating at maximum efficiency due to the ongoing travel restrictions, testing restrictions and closed up schools. I would urge people in the west look at other countries in East Asia that handled this without a massive lockdown. China is not really a great example to follow.

jpster 7y ago

I would love, love, love to learn more about whether and how China is rebooting and how that is going. Haven’t seen much reporting on it. Aside from Apple’s plans to reopen their stores there.

caseysoftware 7y ago
It looks like they're using slave labor.. oh sorry, forced labor while their families are held back in re-education camps: https://www.extremetech.com/extreme/306909-report-china-sells-minorities-into-forced-labor-to-benefit-apple-foxconn-others https://www.extremetech.com/extreme/306909-report-china-sell...
alisonatwork 7y ago
Outside of Hubei, most people are back to work in some form or another now. Throughout February white collar workers worked from home. Since March we've been allowed back to the office, although there are draconian restrictions (must not sit at same table, must wear mask, must report temperature etc). Schools are still closed so many parents continue to work from home. Blue collars have been going back to work for several weeks, although I imagine they are facing similar or even harsher restrictions than white collars. I think pink collars have suffered the most of everybody. Many restaurants have reopened, but in my neighborhood it's only this week that some barbershops reopened, and there are still no bars open, no movie theaters, no events venues etc. My guess would be the country is about 60-70% back to work now, but those who are back are definitely not operating at maximum efficiency due to the ongoing travel restrictions, testing restrictions and closed up schools. I would urge people in the west look at other countries in East Asia that handled this without a massive lockdown. China is not really a great example to follow.