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It's been 4 months already since early December, so not a few weeks. A few weeks is enough time to control a small spread, see Singapore or Taiwan for example f
by KaoruAoiShiho 7y ago
It's been 4 months already since early December, so not a few weeks. A few weeks is enough time to control a small spread, see Singapore or Taiwan for example for what great results can be achieved with diligent testing. You keep testing people aggressively and follow up on any positives. Contact tracing is enough to stop the spread if you do it early enough, and like I said, proof is in Singapore and Taiwan. The problem in the west is no testing so there's nobody to follow. RIP potentially millions for that failure.
- barry-cotter 7y agoThis won’t work. The virus is in over 100 countries, some sufferers are asymptomatic and many have symptoms comparable to a cold. To make matters worse there’s already community transmission in every Western country I’m aware of. It’s too late for contact tracing to be a long term solution. The last time that was possible was when the virus was confined to Wuhan. This is going to infect 60-70% of the population in every country unless they adopt Israel style two week quarantine for all international travelers or North Korea style killing everyone who gets the virus, or just close the borders completely.
- KaoruAoiShiho 7y agoIt's too late for contact tracing NOW. Contact tracing is the "relaxed" solution after we bazooka the virus with a quarantine such that the virus dies in 99% of current hosts. That brings the numbers down to a manageable level so that contact tracing will be effective.