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A model has nothing to do with the underlying data. If they thought that the model was good enough to justify the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people they
by tigershark 7y ago
A model has nothing to do with the underlying data. If they thought that the model was good enough to justify the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people they should release it right now, so we all can take a look at that abomination and decide for ourselves if they should be prosecuted for mass murder in a couple of months.
- sgt101 7y agoIt's here now : have a look. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s...
- mytailorisrich 7y agoIs that the one that seemingly a U turn under the pretence of "new data"? [1] Because the government already knew that rapid herd immunity would cause a huge number of deaths. [1] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/16/new-data-new-policy-why-uks-coronavirus-strategy-has-changed https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/16/new-data-new-p...
- sgt101 7y agoIt is new data - the assumptions that were in the model showed that the surge capacity of ICU could cope in a social distancing scenario, but once they factored in the rates from Lombardy they got a different result. The horrible truth is that this thing is going to cause a huge number of deaths, I wish it weren't so.