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I believe people are going to die, and looking at the long term counts over a short-term mentality and with that, having less deaths overall is a better plan th
by Zenst 7y ago
I believe people are going to die, and looking at the long term counts over a short-term mentality and with that, having less deaths overall is a better plan than not.
But if you have a solution to how an entire country can completely isolate and operate in today's times for any European sized country then I'm all ears to hear it as we are talking a year at least until any sort of vaccine is available.
As for `super spreaders` that's a given, just the same way Europe has easy access to heroin and cocaine that are all imported - you can't stop things spreading even with best intentions and efforts and viruses are much smaller than smuggled drugs. So given that, people who spread this will happen and how would you ever stop that? Sure isolate from the vulnerable and at risk and those groups are already on the case, heck the amount of old people I know and saw 2 weeks ago buying a years worth of toilet roll - well, they are already self isolating and no need to be told by some PM they may or may not respect when they have a lifetime of common sense and experience to draw upon and effectively kick into war-mode mentality lockdown. Though many will learn that over the comming year as this is a world war, only it's the entire world this time fighting a virus. Looking at how the spanish flu went, the real fear is not the hear and now, but the winter to come.
- baq 7y agomy plan would be pretty much what my country is trying to do (I hope) and what South Korea has successfully done already: tell everyone to sit on their asses while massively scaling up testing capabilities so that everyone can test every few days. follow up on every positive case, quarantine carrier and all contacts. test everyone (literally) crossing the border, quarantine as above. this allows to open the country back up while waiting for a vaccine in 12-18 months... or however long it takes.
- makomk 7y agoSouth Korea can test about 10,000 patients a day. Their total population is about 50 million. They've primarily been relying on contact tracing to target their testing, I think.
- baq 7y ago15k but you're right otherwise. they've done many other things for this to work. https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/03/13/815441078/south-koreas-drive-through-testing-for-coronavirus-is-fast-and-free https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/03/13/8154410...