4 ms·
Bodies piling up is a lagging indicator. I think there’s some consensus that once the bodies start piling up it might be too late to do anything
by nknealk 7y ago
Bodies piling up is a lagging indicator. I think there’s some consensus that once the bodies start piling up it might be too late to do anything
- jacquesm 7y agoThat's roughly three weeks from now. Once ICU capacity is saturated it goes downhill very fast. In Italy that took less than three weeks because their population skews elderly, so in the UK it might take a bit longer.
- k__ 7y agoThey also only had half of the beds of, for example, Germany.
- Taek 7y agoSome areas of Italy had a doubling rate of once per 2.4 days. So Germany, with twice as many hospital beds, gets 2.4 days extra of reaction time. Exponents are terrifying.
- jacquesm 7y agoIt is surprising how many people do not seem to realize these things.
- CraigJPerry 7y agoIt’s not an exponent, it’s a logistic. That may or may not change the outcome but you can’t just ignore the part of the trace line that doesn’t fit the scare narrative right?
- baq 7y agobut that's the part that only stopped going exponential after the lockdown hammer dropped right?