25 ms·
For how long? Give me liberty or give me death.
by stOneskull 7y ago
For how long? Give me liberty or give me death.
- cameldrv 7y agoIn Wuhan they got R0 down to about 0.3 with lockdown, contact tracing, and central quarantine. Serial interval is about a week. I estimate we have about 40,000 infections in the U.S. right now. If you want 10 cases, you need a 4000x reduction we'd need about six weeks. The sooner and more aggressively we start, the shorter the lockdown has to be. Half measures that leave R0 above 1 don't help much and just prolong the lockdown. Take my liberty now so that I can have it later.
- burntoutfire 7y agoWhat is next though? It seems to me that, after you end the lockdown, the disease will just be brought back there from other infected regions.