4 ms·
Quick search brings up this: https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/mar/13/viral-image/are-80-percent-coronavirus-cases-mild/ https://www.politifact.com/fac
by hysan 7y ago
Quick search brings up this: https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/mar/13/viral-image/are-80-percent-coronavirus-cases-mild/ https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/mar/13/viral-imag...
Which doesn’t shows that there isn’t a single consensus source yet. The article points out one source with 25.5% severe and another with 13.8% severe. Meanwhile for critical, it shows the numbers 4.7% and 6.1%.
While OP isn’t entirely accurate, for off the top of the head numbers, it’s not wildly off base either it seems.
- antaviana 7y agoLet's assume that untreated severe means death. Let's take the lower value 13.8%. Now let's factor in that in a developed country there are some 0,5% hospital beds total capacity. Let's say that Covid-19 can have at disposal half of those beds. If you do not do all you can to flatten the curve, you are probably looking at a 10% death rate over infected population, if not more. That's over 6 million people in the UK. IMHO, you have to do something to buy more time, although it is yet to be seen if lockdowns will be effective enough as this guy seems to be too strong.
- antaviana 7y agoOh, and I'm not counting the deaths caused by the army shooting at people panicking or killing each other not to get infected. Human nature is like that.