4 ms·
Taleb opinion about this: UK Policy is a speculative lunacy. Playing with the toy standard epidemiological SIR model. We have no idea how model parameters cau
by rsecora 7y ago
Taleb opinion about this:
UK Policy is a speculative lunacy.
Playing with the toy standard epidemiological SIR model. We have no idea how model parameters cause a yuuuge variation in ourcomes.
We don't even know the central parameters/whether stochastic.
Try to add perturbations for "herd immunity".
https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1239171413342289921?s=19 https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1239171413342289921?s=19