4 ms·

Sounds like someone is in a bubble, RCP polling aggregate data shows Trump (before this crisis) at an all time high for popularity, and more popular than Obam

by syshum 7y ago

Sounds like someone is in a bubble, RCP polling aggregate data shows Trump (before this crisis) at an all time high for popularity, and more popular than Obama at the end of his first term. There is a resistance movement only on the coasts of the US, and in some other Urban, largely democrat area's get out of Urban US and there is no resistance, at most it is slight disagreement, but most people in rural America support Trump completely this includes many in the "Rust Belt" which democrats need to win a national election, support they have completely and utterly lost

rfrey 7y ago
RCP shows Trump's approval level has been below Obama's except for one period of about 4 months at the end of 2019, where they about tracked each other. Trump's disapproval level has consistently been 5-10% above Obama's, except for a couple of periods where Obama's disapproval spiked a bit for a few weeks. It never went above Trump's average disapproval though. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_vs_president_obama_job_approval.html https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_tru...
- whoisthemachine 7y ago
  Thanks for finding this! I was trying to find the source for this comment as well. Seems it was mostly hot air.
whoisthemachine 7y ago
Interesting, where did you see that on RCP? On 538, it clearly shows Obama (and most other presidents, with the exception of H.W Bush) had a higher approval rating 1158 days into their presidency - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=rrpromo https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/.... I see this polling average for Trump - https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_tru... - and it seems to have a couple of extra points more than 538, but I do not see anything comparing Obama's polls to Trump's polls. I do recall 538 adjusts polls slightly based on bias in the sampled population [0]. Perhaps RCP doesn't take into account bias in polls? [0] https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

by syshum 7y ago

rfrey 7y ago

RCP shows Trump's approval level has been below Obama's except for one period of about 4 months at the end of 2019, where they about tracked each other. Trump's disapproval level has consistently been 5-10% above Obama's, except for a couple of periods where Obama's disapproval spiked a bit for a few weeks. It never went above Trump's average disapproval though. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_vs_president_obama_job_approval.html https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_tru...

whoisthemachine 7y ago
Thanks for finding this! I was trying to find the source for this comment as well. Seems it was mostly hot air.

whoisthemachine 7y ago

Interesting, where did you see that on RCP? On 538, it clearly shows Obama (and most other presidents, with the exception of H.W Bush) had a higher approval rating 1158 days into their presidency - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=rrpromo https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/.... I see this polling average for Trump - https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_tru... - and it seems to have a couple of extra points more than 538, but I do not see anything comparing Obama's polls to Trump's polls. I do recall 538 adjusts polls slightly based on bias in the sampled population [0]. Perhaps RCP doesn't take into account bias in polls? [0] https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/