4 ms·
Long term is what they're thinking of. Ie next winter and beyond. And there are plenty of experts among the uk Gov't advisers too. "Pandemic" is #1 on the UK's
by kitd 7y ago
Long term is what they're thinking of. Ie next winter and beyond.
And there are plenty of experts among the uk Gov't advisers too. "Pandemic" is #1 on the UK's list of national threats, and has been for ages. I'm certain this will have been modelled to death all that time.
Tbh, the "correct" advice depends mainly on your assumptions and priorities, not the mathematics.
- TheOtherHobbes 7y agoYou may be certain this has been modelled, but that doesn't mean it's been modelled correctly. I'm having some difficulty believing that a government with a decade-long track record of stupidity, craven dishonesty, and aggressive contempt for the poor, weak, and old, has suddenly decided to be a world-leading paragon of evidence-based health policy - in a way that's making epidemiologists in other countries say "Huh? What?" And the question remains - if they're thinking next winter, what difference does two weeks make?
- phkahler 7y agoTwo weeks means a significant difference in the number of people infected this season, which means a lower exponent in the rate of spread next time.