3 ms·
Exactly, you can't fix an exponential problem with a linear solution. If the caseload doubles every two days, shutting down cities two days earlier is better th
by klipt 7y ago
Exactly, you can't fix an exponential problem with a linear solution. If the caseload doubles every two days, shutting down cities two days earlier is better than doubling the number of ventilators (because even with ventilators, more infected means more deaths).
Note that Wuhan shut down when they saw 400 new cases in a day, and their hospitals were still overwhelmed. The USA is over 400 new cases daily already. That's comparing a country to a huge city, but in exponential terms that only buys you days at most.
See https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-peop...
- Gatsky 7y agoAlso people don't seem to realise, a patient on a ventilator is extremely unwell. They are the most unwell people in the entire hospital. They have 24 hour 1 on 1 nursing, constant invasive monitoring of vital signs, blood tests, X-rays, CT scans, antibiotics. They are managed by a team of extremely well trained and highly experienced senior medical professionals. And this goes on for a week or more. Then they leave ICU and proceed to be the most unwell people in the hospital except for those still in ICU. They might have various other complications, and need several more weeks to recover, often needing inpatient rehabilitation. This does not scale.