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Please also read this, I believe it's the right approach: https://medium.com/@jb_89278/the-11-day-plan-to-contain-covid-19-the-global-11-day-plan-99e324630de7

Please also read this, I believe it's the right approach: https://medium.com/@jb_89278/the-11-day-plan-to-contain-covid-19-the-global-11-day-plan-99e324630de7 https://medium.com/@jb_89278/the-11-day-plan-to-contain-covi... The guy is tech enterpreneur and VC investor who has been advising our (Czech) PM.

js2 7y ago
It would be impossible to do this in the U.S. I'm not sure he appreciates the size of the U.S., the resistance among many Americans who don't like being told what to do, the denial by Fox et al, the distributed nature of our government and on and on. I can't even imagine it working in my county.
- beatgammit 7y ago
  Yeah, there would be rioting pretty much immediately if anyone tried that here, and I'm sure the same would happen elsewhere. I'm personally a fan of controlled, opt-in infections to help speed up research for a vaccine along with moderate quarantine (cancel many public events, encourage self quarantine). It may not be as effective, but it's much less likely to end in riots.
  - RivieraKid 7y ago
    The alternative may be an explosion of cases and a complete collapse of the health care system. Because there is a good chance that mild social distancing measures are simply not enough.
- fogleman 7y ago
  It also doesn't consider that many of the infected are asymptomatic, so they won't be "revealed" within the 11 day period.
epicureanideal 7y ago
Maybe we should do a Global 11 Day Quarantine every year. Stop the flu and common colds from spreading too. Time it so it happens before peak flu season. Or maybe even twice per year, for the northern and southern hemispheres, if they have different flu season schedules. (Edit: Or just do it once per hemisphere, but with restricted travel between hemispheres during the quarantine.) 22 days at home every year... okay, a bit boring, and the economy would take a small hit from that... BUT, there would also be far fewer people taking sick days, and workers would also get more rest and come back more refreshed. It may only be a net loss of a couple days of work, lets say 3 days of work, 1% of Global GDP. Global GDP grows at about 2-3% per year from what I can see. So a loss of 1% would set us back to the level of late 2019 or New Years' 2020, which was hardly the dark ages. Not to mention Work From Home policies would adapt so it's likely very little productivity would be lost.

js2 7y ago

It would be impossible to do this in the U.S. I'm not sure he appreciates the size of the U.S., the resistance among many Americans who don't like being told what to do, the denial by Fox et al, the distributed nature of our government and on and on. I can't even imagine it working in my county.

beatgammit 7y ago
Yeah, there would be rioting pretty much immediately if anyone tried that here, and I'm sure the same would happen elsewhere. I'm personally a fan of controlled, opt-in infections to help speed up research for a vaccine along with moderate quarantine (cancel many public events, encourage self quarantine). It may not be as effective, but it's much less likely to end in riots.
- RivieraKid 7y ago
  The alternative may be an explosion of cases and a complete collapse of the health care system. Because there is a good chance that mild social distancing measures are simply not enough.
fogleman 7y ago
It also doesn't consider that many of the infected are asymptomatic, so they won't be "revealed" within the 11 day period.

epicureanideal 7y ago

Maybe we should do a Global 11 Day Quarantine every year. Stop the flu and common colds from spreading too. Time it so it happens before peak flu season. Or maybe even twice per year, for the northern and southern hemispheres, if they have different flu season schedules. (Edit: Or just do it once per hemisphere, but with restricted travel between hemispheres during the quarantine.) 22 days at home every year... okay, a bit boring, and the economy would take a small hit from that... BUT, there would also be far fewer people taking sick days, and workers would also get more rest and come back more refreshed. It may only be a net loss of a couple days of work, lets say 3 days of work, 1% of Global GDP. Global GDP grows at about 2-3% per year from what I can see. So a loss of 1% would set us back to the level of late 2019 or New Years' 2020, which was hardly the dark ages. Not to mention Work From Home policies would adapt so it's likely very little productivity would be lost.