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The fact that growth rates seem very similar in all affected countries, baffles me. Surely lifestyles, social structure (number of families/kids etc.), hygiene
by lazyjones 7y ago
The fact that growth rates seem very similar in all affected countries, baffles me. Surely lifestyles, social structure (number of families/kids etc.), hygiene habits differ slightly and testing rates/effectiveness of the health system varies greatly among them. If these factors aren't important, does social life even matter? The effectiveness of China's lockdown is a good argument for it, but perhaps they were just more effective at identifying and isolating spreaders? My point is that there's a chance that it spreads through the air or in some other way unaffected by curfews etc. (if you leave the windows open...).
- tim333 7y agoIt's not true that they are similar in all affected countries. The ones in that graph are cherry picked for similarity. If you look at China, Taiwan, Singapore etc there are differences. eg Fujian https://mackuba.eu/corona/#fujian_china https://mackuba.eu/corona/#fujian_china Taiwan https://mackuba.eu/corona/#taiwan https://mackuba.eu/corona/#taiwan HK https://mackuba.eu/corona/#hong_kong https://mackuba.eu/corona/#hong_kong Taiwan is impressive in that they had thousands of flights a month to China, have only 30 active cases and no lockdowns. They had people ride on the planes from Wuhan to identify sick passengers during the flight and quarantine them on landing. As a Brit I'm embarrassed by our performance in comparison.