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Most comments here raise excellent points. One more in the mix: Many companies in many countries are working on vaccines and cures. So far some are reporting m
by rzwitserloot 7y ago
Most comments here raise excellent points.
One more in the mix: Many companies in many countries are working on vaccines and cures. So far some are reporting moderate successes; as I understand it, those with the experience to tell seem to think odds are pretty decent there'll be some sort of vaccine available within a span of a year, maybe sooner.
Whether corona infections 'outpace' the time when a vaccine will be generally available depends a lot on how long it'll take to get a vaccine out the door, but presumably a ton of resources (and a lot of leeway on relaxing regulations) are spent on this, as well as exactly how fast corona spreads.
If it spreads very fast, all of this 'planned herd immunity' stuff is nonsense, all the taps you can close should be closed and stay closed and it'll still spread. The UK would be mismanaging this and should be closing more facilities.
If it doesn't, then the UK is probably mismanaging this, in that it'd be better to try to slow the spread because the end game is the vaccine.
Effectively then, they appear to be betting on a creative and untested solution that they more or less have to keep secret because it doesn't work well if it is generally known, which requires accurate forecasts from lethality rates amongst various parts of the public to spread rates in circumstances that are probably unique to the UK then, if they are the only country to go with this plan, __whilst__ betting that the vaccine solution is not going to be fruitful for a long long time.
I'm going with 'insane' on this one.