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Since there's already a pandemic, I'll assume when you're saying "pandemic" you mean more specifically "epidemic in the UK". Even then, there's some fallacy in
by gregmac 7y ago
Since there's already a pandemic, I'll assume when you're saying "pandemic" you mean more specifically "epidemic in the UK". Even then, there's some fallacy in your list.
In the best case -- if action is taken and it contains the spread -- then there is no epidemic and it looks like overreaction. Even if it slows the spread allowing the health care system to keep up and keeps the fatality rate fairly low you'll get people claiming it wasn't as big a deal and that whatever action was taken was an overreaction.
This happened with Y2K [1], it happens with hurricane warnings when the storms fizzle out, and despite the glaring evidence of what happens with inaction (China, Italy) there should be little doubt people will be talking about 'overreactions' in any countries that do take action that turns out to be effective.
It's the same problem that nobody goes to a show and says "Wow, the sound technician did a great job, because nobody backstage had a hot mic while they were in the bathroom!"
[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22556156 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22556156
- tomp 7y agoI don't think anyone will accuse any government of overreaction, given the state we're in - there's many countries, acting independently, with different outcomes / progressions of the pandemic ... it will be very easy to look back in a year or so (hopefully) and say precisely which governments did well and which did not, possibly even precisely which actions led to the outcomes