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> However everyone that dies of coronavirus is reported as a coronavirus case. That seems unlikely. Testing capacity in lots of the world is extremely limited
by owenmarshall 7y ago
> However everyone that dies of coronavirus is reported as a coronavirus case.
That seems unlikely.
Testing capacity in lots of the world is extremely limited. The US is reserving test kits for the most sick/at risk; people at a low risk are unlikely to be tested.
It seems to me that the focus would be on testing alive people, and that we are subsequently undercounting deaths - at least, in these relatively early stages.
- hef19898 7y agoMy impression was, that everybody with syptoms who ot hospitalized also got tested. So the number of undiagnosed death should be very low. And by an order of magnitude lower than the number of untested, but infected, cases out in the wild. But as everybody points out, the correct number can only be claculated after the fact. and even the it might be of.
- owenmarshall 7y agoI would definitely suspect you are right, though: many of the reports we’ve seen so far indicates community spread was occurring before the first case was detected - consider the Ohio estimate yesterday that ~1% of their population is infected. So long term a lower CFR seems to make sense.
- hef19898 7y agoSounds logical to me as well. That's also how I understood virologists and the like.