4 ms·
Of course it will in time spread. By having a quarantine right now, that time would be shorter, not longer. That’s the point being made.
by aljungberg 7y ago
Of course it will in time spread. By having a quarantine right now, that time would be shorter, not longer. That’s the point being made.
- JoeAltmaier 7y agoNo. Smaller groups contain and slow down the spread. It extends our response time.
- aljungberg 7y agoThat does not contradict anything the government said. All else being equal, of course smaller groups, in the sense of people seeing fewer other people, is better. That’s not the argument. Nobody is saying “we should see more people”. All else is not equal. You pull the quarantine lever, you increase social distancing but you also increase local mixing. Costs and benefits. The right choice at any given time depends on the disease spread. Computer modelling and simulation tells us when there is a net benefit.