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South Korea hasn't contained the virus yet. They've done a good job at squashing the big cluster in Daegu, partly due to luck (the index patient didn't meet the
by makomk 7y ago
South Korea hasn't contained the virus yet. They've done a good job at squashing the big cluster in Daegu, partly due to luck (the index patient didn't meet the criteria for testing but got tested anyway), and their numbers look promising. However, Italy's numbers looked good right up until they didn't. The fear is that there are a bunch of other clusters spread throughout the country that are slowly bubbling away, too many to apply contact tracing to, and it looks like there's evidence that is becoming the case: https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/03/10/812865169/how-a-south-korean-city-is-changing-tactics-to-tamp-down-its-covid-19-surge https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/03/10/8128651...
- KaoruAoiShiho 7y agoKorea is doing really well. Here's an article from today: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-southkorea/south-korea-reports-107-new-coronavirus-cases-total-8086-kcdc-idUSKBN21101Y https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-southk... There's a huge difference between looking good with small numbers because you haven't done testing like in much of Europe or NA vs looking good because you've blanketed the country in tests and are seeing recoveries outstrip infections.
- treis 7y agoItaly also wasn't testing. Their signal was hospitals overflowing with dying patients. So it's unlikely that SK is missing significant numbers of cases. If they were their hospitals would be overflowing.