3 ms·
No, this is worse than a cold. Worse than the flu as well. For 18 to 49, the death rate for flu last year was 1.8 per 100,000 people. Corona virus's death ra
by lsiebert 7y ago
No, this is worse than a cold. Worse than the flu as well.
For 18 to 49, the death rate for flu last year was 1.8 per 100,000 people. Corona virus's death rate is unknown but even among 20 somethings they are talking about an estimated .2% death rate. That's 200 per 100,000 https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html
- endorphone 7y agoFurther, that assumes that the healthcare system can perform heroic efforts. In cases where the system is overloaded, such as seen in Italy, mortality numbers can get much worse. Now add that some/many patients have lung scarring that can hold with them for life. With all of the information available demonstrating that it clearly is pretty serious, I've come to identify people downplaying it as essentially the exercising of wishful thinking: If I tell everyone it's nothing, maybe it will be. I hope it's nothing. At the same time I understand the responses that have occurred.
- speleding 7y agoThat's a bit alarmist. Based on the numbers from Wuhan, where the disease has progressed furthest and the numbers are most clear, it's about 5 times worse than a seasonal flu. There is considerable uncertainty at this stage, of course, but the lower numbers look more realistic. Source: https://www.economist.com/international/2020/03/12/fatality-rates-for-covid-19-could-vary-enormously https://www.economist.com/international/2020/03/12/fatality-...
- FreshEconomist 7y agoYeah what I typed came across badly, I wasn't intending to download like it seemed from that comment.