4 ms·

... no. Unless you're a child, it's not a cold. Good shot of ending up in the ICU.

by woofie11 7y ago

dmos62 7y ago
Anyone has sources?
- choeger 7y ago
  The numbers vary massively but I have seen a number of about 20% hospitalized cases. This includes the elderly and people with preconditions. But still, you would not want to develop any pneumonia when your local hospital is running over its capacity.
  - forkexec 7y ago
    It's a given that American hospitals will be running out of ventilators, beds, and nurses will be stretched too thin. And if you need an ECMO and/or organ transplant in the near future, good luck with that.
- deleted 7y ago
  [deleted]
- greatest-ape 7y ago
  Unsurprisingly, smoking seems to be a huge risk factor [1]: “[..] the multivariate logistic analysis indicated that age (OR, 8.546; 95% CI: 1.62844.864; P = 0.011), history of smoking (OR, 14.285; 95% CI: 1.57725.000; P = 0.018), maximum body temperature at admission (OR, 8.999; 95% CI: 1.03678.147, P = 0.046), respiratory failure (OR, 8.772, 95% CI: 1.94240.000; P =0.016), albumin (OR, 7.353, 95% CI: 1.09850.000; P =0.003) and C-reactive protein (OR, 10.53; 95% CI: 1.22434.701, P = 0.028) were risk factor for disease progression [Table 4].” [1] https://journals.lww.com/cmj/Abstract/publishahead/Analysis_of_factors_associated_with_disease.99363.aspx https://journals.lww.com/cmj/Abstract/publishahead/Analysis_...
- thatswrong0 7y ago
  https://miro.medium.com/max/3660/1*-O84hhKDRHmgMVAslvgj-Q.png https://miro.medium.com/max/3660/1*-O84hhKDRHmgMVAslvgj-Q.pn... Here's a chart made from a study in China. It's actually a bit unclear, but I'm assuming it's 18.5% of confirmed cases that require hospitalization. Now, the question is how many of those that got sick at all got confirmed in China, and how many people presented symptoms (those are unknown). So it seems like it's less than 18.5%. On top of this, Chinese men are heavy smokers and the air quality in China is pretty terrible, so that may play a part as well.

... no. Unless you're a child, it's not a cold. Good shot of ending up in the ICU.

dmos62 7y ago

Anyone has sources?

choeger 7y ago
The numbers vary massively but I have seen a number of about 20% hospitalized cases. This includes the elderly and people with preconditions. But still, you would not want to develop any pneumonia when your local hospital is running over its capacity.
- forkexec 7y ago
  It's a given that American hospitals will be running out of ventilators, beds, and nurses will be stretched too thin. And if you need an ECMO and/or organ transplant in the near future, good luck with that.
deleted 7y ago
[deleted]
greatest-ape 7y ago
Unsurprisingly, smoking seems to be a huge risk factor [1]: “[..] the multivariate logistic analysis indicated that age (OR, 8.546; 95% CI: 1.62844.864; P = 0.011), history of smoking (OR, 14.285; 95% CI: 1.57725.000; P = 0.018), maximum body temperature at admission (OR, 8.999; 95% CI: 1.03678.147, P = 0.046), respiratory failure (OR, 8.772, 95% CI: 1.94240.000; P =0.016), albumin (OR, 7.353, 95% CI: 1.09850.000; P =0.003) and C-reactive protein (OR, 10.53; 95% CI: 1.22434.701, P = 0.028) were risk factor for disease progression [Table 4].” [1] https://journals.lww.com/cmj/Abstract/publishahead/Analysis_of_factors_associated_with_disease.99363.aspx https://journals.lww.com/cmj/Abstract/publishahead/Analysis_...
thatswrong0 7y ago
https://miro.medium.com/max/3660/1*-O84hhKDRHmgMVAslvgj-Q.png https://miro.medium.com/max/3660/1*-O84hhKDRHmgMVAslvgj-Q.pn... Here's a chart made from a study in China. It's actually a bit unclear, but I'm assuming it's 18.5% of confirmed cases that require hospitalization. Now, the question is how many of those that got sick at all got confirmed in China, and how many people presented symptoms (those are unknown). So it seems like it's less than 18.5%. On top of this, Chinese men are heavy smokers and the air quality in China is pretty terrible, so that may play a part as well.