3 ms·

Heres my problems: * Only those with symptoms (which?) are going to be "allowed" to be tested. This means you can't stop the spread. * Testing is going to "co

Heres my problems: * Only those with symptoms (which?) are going to be "allowed" to be tested. This means you can't stop the spread. * Testing is going to "come online" within weeks, but cases are already accelerating. We have tripled cases in the last 4 days. Its an exponential curve * I fully expect them to fudge the numbers on deaths at this point. We will start to see a large uptick within the next week.

noxer 7y ago
>This means you can't stop the spread. This was certain since many weeks. Stopping was probably never possible anyway. But certainly there is no scenario where the whole world gets it but USA doesn't. And even places like Wuhan where it seems stooped it's highly questionable what happens if they go back to normal. Chances are high it will just start again. The 80k immune there are nowhere near enough to stop a second wave. Herd immunity needs probably around 60-80%.