Disclosure: I have no public health credentials, but have been following this carefully. Please be especially careful about information sources. To quote [1], "

Disclosure: I have no public health credentials, but have been following this carefully. Please be especially careful about information sources. To quote [1], "There is a ton of bullshit being disseminated. Please do not disseminate anything you can’t verify. Science must prevail." It seems inevitable to me that we will be in a similar situation in the US soon. According to graphs that are all over #epi Twitter and very consistent with each other (example [2]), we are approximately 11 days behind Italy in progression. Already in the Seattle area they are finding their capacity strained[3]. And it is clear it will get considerably worse before it gets better. The best projection I have read is [4], by a UCSF expert panel. Key quote: "We used their numbers to work out a guesstimate of deaths— indicating about 1.5 million Americans may die." but please do read the whole thing for context. I'm trying to avoid getting to anxious about this, but the facts on the ground are extremely concerning. [1]: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/dispatch-3-dr-shlain-reporting-from-front-lines-shlain-m-d-/ https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/dispatch-3-dr-shlain-reportin... [2]: https://twitter.com/HumeField/status/1237941418909257728 https://twitter.com/HumeField/status/1237941418909257728 [3]: https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/short-staffed-and-undersupplied-coronavirus-crisis-strains-seattle-areas-capacity-to-deliver-care/ https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/short-staff... [4]: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/notes-from-ucsf-expert-panel-march-10-dr-jordan-shlain-m-d-/?published=t&trackingId=wicHegWKSkuJBeE6ZUWDPQ%3D%3D https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/notes-from-ucsf-expert-panel-...