3 ms·
If they are never recorded does that not mean they infect more people and that results in sicker population creating more burden to the health system - resultin
by superpermutat0r 7y ago
If they are never recorded does that not mean they infect more people and that results in sicker population creating more burden to the health system - resulting in more deaths?
The statistics always seem to go up no matter what kind of interpretation.
- _-___________-_ 7y agoThe point is that deaths - the numerator of the case fatality rate - are basically always recorded, whereas cases - the denominator of the case fatality rate - represent only a subset of the people that are infected. When the health system is severely overburdened, that subset because a smaller and smaller proportion, as scarce resources are used for testing of people presenting at hospitals rather than population-based testing. People who are asymptomatic or have minor symptoms don't present at a hospital, so they don't get tested, so they never get recorded as a case (which, by definition, requires a test and a diagnosis). The real population fatality rates are guaranteed to be lower than the CFR unless you believe that every person who is infected is being tested and diagnosed, and it's my opinion that they'll be much lower.