I understand that the approach has some degree of internal consistency, but it requires a huge amount of trust in the underlying models, and in our ability to p

I understand that the approach has some degree of internal consistency, but it requires a huge amount of trust in the underlying models, and in our ability to pull the right levers at the right time in the future. I can totally accept that any approach _must_ address what happens for the entire period from now up until immunity or vaccination - we know we can't keep everything shut down until 2021. But the government is hoping to tap the brakes when the outbreak is going at 100mph, compared to controlling acceleration from the standing start of lockdown. This is an immense and shocking gamble. I hope it works, although would mean every other country appears to be making a huge mistake by shutting down now.